Consumer confidence: highest since mid-July

Source: ANZ statements

“Consumer Confidence rose 1.8 points to an eight-week high, remaining just below the mid-July peak,” ANZ Economist, Madeline Dunk said.

“The increase was broad-based, with current financial conditions being the only subindex to decline.

“The future financial conditions subindex increased 3.1 points to a six-month high. Households were feeling more confident about the economic outlook.

“Momentum has diverged across the housing cohorts. Since late-August, the four-week moving average of confidence for households who own their home outright has lifted 1.7 points, whereas it fell 1.3 points for renters and 0.2 points for those 

paying off a mortgage.

“While renters remain more confident than those with a mortgage, the gap between the two groups is narrowing.”

A softer Melbourne market provides a silver lining for property buyers

Source: ANZ statements

CoreLogic’s Head of Research, Eliza Owen said: “The downturn in the Melbourne housing market is holding, with six consecutive months of decline through to August 2024. As a result, we’ve seen a significant shift in affordability, with dwelling values falling by 4.9 per cent from the peak.

“Coupled with modest income growth, Melbourne has become one of the few markets where housing affordability is improving. Some of the largest improvements in affordability over the past two years has been in some of the more expensive areas of the Melbourne market, such as Flinders on the Mornington Peninsula and the inner-south suburb of Beaumaris.

“The rental market however remains tight, with rental values growing at an average annual rate of 8.4 per cent over the past three years. This will see renters continue to struggle when coupled with ongoing low vacancy rates,” she said.

ANZ Economist, Madeline Dunk said: “Melbourne is currently gaining an affordability advantage on other capital cities, which presents a silver lining for buyers. However, to maintain affordability, measures to support ongoing residential construction will be vital.

“Nationally, the median dwelling value to income ratio has increased, making it more challenging for households to save for a home deposit.

“Elevated interest costs, low pre-sales, competition with the infrastructure sector for trades, and higher building costs could impact future dwelling approvals, commencements, and completions. This could lead to further declines in housing affordability across the country,” she said.

The full report is available at ANZ bluenotes.

Consumer confidence: inflation expectations steady

Source: ANZ statements

“Consumer Confidence has plateaued, with the four-week moving average largely steady since early August,” ANZ Economist, Madeline Dunk said.

“Weekly confidence is currently 2.1 points below the July peak of 84.4 points, which marked a six-month high in the series. The Stage 3 tax cuts and cost-of-living relief do not appear to be progressively boosting households’ confidence.

“We are, however, seeing a sustained improvement in inflation expectations which were stable at a 32-month low of 4.6 per cent. Lower petrol prices may be supporting this shift.

“The result is likely be welcomed by the Reserve Bank of Australia, with Governor Michele Bullock noting last week that having well-anchored inflation expectations helps to stabilise the economy, support economic growth and create more jobs.”

ANZ Plus introduces Cashrewards Add-On to enhance customer savings

Source: ANZ statements

The addition of Cashrewards builds on the growing list of Add-Ons already available in ANZ Plus, including Qantas Frequent Flyer, Visa ATM Finder, Money Map, Spending and Money In & Out.

Maile Carnegie, Group Executive Australia Retail said: “Add-Ons enable our customers to enhance and personalise their banking experience with a mix of smart money management tools from ANZ and third-party partners. 

“Integrating Cashrewards with ANZ Plus makes the cashback process simpler and more convenient for our customers, saving them time, and importantly, it can help customers save money on their everyday purchases.”

Cashrewards is Australia’s leading cashback program. In 2023, top Cashrewards earners received an average of $400 cashback.  ANZ customers have earned more than $50 million cashback through Cashrewards to date. 85 per cent of Cashrewards members surveyed believe the program helps them with their financial position.  

Anthony Seymour-Walsh, Cashrewards Chief Executive Officer said, “We’re proud of our partnership with ANZ and the new Cashrewards integration to the ANZ Plus Add-On experience.

“ANZ Plus customers can now earn cashback on everyday purchases like groceries, fuel, travel, marketplace, fashion, and view their Cashrewards available to withdraw balance from directly within the ANZ Plus app. We are excited to help more Australian households make their household budgets stretch further,” he said.

The Cashrewards Add-On is now available to all ANZ Plus customers.

ANZ Plus customers who join Cashrewards via the Add-On and make a qualifying shop can earn a $30 Welcome Bonus (T&Cs apply). Once customers have the Add-On, they will be able to shop and earn cashback on everyday purchases like groceries, fuel and travel. They can also view their Cashrewards available to withdraw balance alongside their day-to-day banking.

To learn more, visit Add-Ons (anz.com.au)

ANZ welcomes Federal funding for MoneyBusiness

Source: ANZ statements

Over the next twelve months, ICAN will upskill community professionals nationally on how to use MoneyBusiness financial education content to better support their clients.

MoneyBusiness is an ANZ initiative, developed to build the money management skills and confidence of Indigenous Australians.

ANZ developed MoneyBusiness in partnership with the Australian Government in 2005, following research which showed that financial exclusion was a significant problem among Indigenous communities. The program is estimated to have reached more than 90,000 First Nations people in 215 communities.

ANZ Head of Social Impact and Community Janet Liu said: “We’re proud MoneyBusiness has again been recognised for its contribution to the financial wellbeing of so many Indigenous Australians.”

“Financial wellbeing is a critical part of maintaining strong, thriving communities. We’re looking forward to working with ICAN and Federal Government on this expansion support more Indigenous Australians build on their financial skills,” said Liu.

ICAN CEO Aaron Davis said: “ICAN is committed to supporting financial wellbeing organsations build their workforce capacity through our registered training organisation, ICAN Learn.”

“As an organisation that provides financial counselling and capability services in regional Australia, ICAN knows how important it is to create local employment pathways and how much programs like MoneyBusiness can assist in that journey.”

“ICAN’s focus of developing the Indigenous financial capability workforce nationally through targeted training initiatives aligns perfectly with the goals of the MoneyBusiness program.”

For more detail about the training, including eligibility and delivery location please contact ICAN Learn at moneybusiness@icanlearn.edu.au or via phone 03 5471 777.

About MoneyBusiness

MoneyBusiness brings together ANZ’s knowledge and experience in financial literacy and the Australian Government’s overview of service delivery. ANZ developed a comprehensive set of community workshop materials in consultation with local communities and Indigenous workers who ensured the information was culturally appropriate and relevant to the target audience.

The program is delivered by ANZ and its community partners, including ICAN and the Federal Government.

About ICAN

ICAN provides consumer education, advocacy, and financial counselling services to people across north and far north Queensland. In 2017 ICAN created, ICAN Learn, a registered training organisation to build vocational education pathways for its Team, Community and the national Financial Wellbeing Sector more broadly. Building the capacity of these three distinct groups is a crucial step for ICAN to:

  • Develop career pathways within ICAN for First Nations peoples and financial counsellors servicing First Nations communities.
  • Provide quality financial wellbeing services to First Nations communities and employment/economic development programs.
  • Develop career pathways throughout the financial wellbeing sector, prioritising the professionalisation of the national financial capability workforce.

ANZ Plus expands home lending eligibility criteria alongside new tools and features

Source: ANZ statements

This regional expansion comes among a suite of new tools and features including offset accounts, insights to help customers own their home sooner and the ability for customers to apply to take cash out of their home equity for home improvements, vehicle purchases or other lifestyle expenses.

Maile Carnegie, Group Executive Australia Retail said: “As we continue to build on our ANZ Plus home lending offering, we’re able to provide customers with more personalisation and features to help them better understand their home loans and improve their financial wellbeing.

“Owning a home is one of the biggest financial commitments most people will make in their lifetime, and we believe the process of finding the right home loan should be as easy and convenient as possible. The expanded eligibility, along with the addition of new features, like Home Loan Insights, offset and our upgraded website which allows customers to get a valuation for their property before applying, enables more customers to interact with ANZ Plus.”

The new ANZ Plus Home Loan features include:

A new offset feature allows customers to use their eligible ANZ Plus everyday account balances to reduce the interest they pay on their ANZ Plus Home Loan. The offset can be turned off and on as needed. A monthly fee of $10 applies.

ANZ Plus home loan customers can now apply to access home equity for home improvement, a vehicle purchase or other lifestyle expenses. This feature builds on ANZ’s commitment to support financial wellbeing, making it easier for customers to access funds to improve their homes and lives.

A new Insights tab shows customers how far ahead on their home loan they are and presents three simple steps they can take to get further ahead – make a lump sum payment, increase auto-repayments and turn on offset. Customers are shown an estimate of how much time will be shaved off their final loan repayment date as they make these changes, helping them to own their home sooner.  

  • Explore via the web

Potential customers can explore the ANZ Plus Home Loan offer via the website, see estimated repayments and get a valuation for their property, and if right for them, transition to the ANZ Plus app where their loan preferences will be saved and ready for them when they join ANZ Plus. 

Since launch, ANZ Plus has expanded its home lending eligibility by increasing the maximum loan value to $2 million, allowing Foreign Tax residents and permanent residents to apply and expanding locations to include eligible properties in five states and territories.

The end-to-end digital home lending process can be completed quickly and easily within the ANZ Plus mobile app including selfie verification before customers electronically sign their loan documents.

Built by ANZ, ANZ Plus continues to be one of the fastest growing digital banking platforms in Australia, with more than $15 billion in deposits and 800,000 customers, 41% of whom are new to ANZ.

For more information visit: https://www.anz.com.au/plus

About ANZ Plus: 

  • ANZ Plus utilises modern technology, resulting in the delivery of not just a new app or new product offering, but a new retail banking platform for ANZ.
  • ANZ Plus launched its first transact and save products to customers in 2022, with the initial home loan added late-2023

 

About ANZ Plus home lending:

  • The ANZ Plus Home Loan Variable is digital-first, data-driven, highly automated and supported by ANZ Plus Coaches. With ANZ Plus home lending eligible customers who wish to refinance can:
    • Verify their identity in a few minutes via the app with no paper required.
    • See a valuation of their home, so they can apply with confidence knowing it’s the valuation used to assess their application.
    • Receive their loan documents – written in simple language – in seconds.
    • Access ANZ Plus Coaches who are on hand to help via chat, phone or secure in-app video call.

Consumer confidence: inflation expectations lowest since late 2021

Source: ANZ statements

“Consumer Confidence has moved within a tight range over the past four weeks, with the series retaining most of the increases seen in late July and early August.” ANZ Economist, Madeline Dunk said.

“Households’ confidence in their future financial situation rose to a five-month high last week and is now back in ‘positive’ territory.”

“This is the only subindex currently sitting above 100 points. Inflation expectations also eased 0.2 percentage point to 4.6 per cent, its lowest reading since late 2021.”

“The shift in these indicators may be linked to last week’s monthly inflation data, which showed a fall in both headline and trimmed mean inflation. After accelerating earlier in 2024, inflation appears to be back on the path to target.”

ANZ-Indeed Australian Job Ads: down 15.3 per cent in 2024

Source: ANZ statements

ANZ Economist, Madeline Dunk said: “ANZ-Indeed Australian Job Ads declined in August for the seventh consecutive month to be down 15.3% so far in 2024. Yet employment has risen by 318k in 2024 (273k in full-time employment), and six-month average employment growth is running at its strongest pace since late 2022. Part of the decline in the series (which measures total job ads rather than new job ads) is likely due to workers finding jobs. Labour supply is pushing higher, with the participation rate hitting a record 67.1% in July. The female participation rate lifted to a new peak of 63.2%, while the male participation rate was the highest since January 2016 at 71.2%. The downward trend in Job Ads and the move upward in the unemployment rate suggests that labour supply and demand are moving towards balance.”

Indeed Senior Economist, Callam Pickering said: “In August, Job Ads continued to fall across most states, led by Western Australia, Victoria and Queensland, which more than offset gains across South Australia and Tasmania. The 22.9% decline in Job Ads over the past year has been concentrated in New South Wales and Victoria, with more modest falls elsewhere. Defying national trends, Job Ads jumped in August in key sectors, such as retail trade, education and food preparation. For retail trade, August marks the beginning of the Christmas hiring period, with opportunities set to rise sharply over the next few months.”

Customers set to spend big this Father’s Day

Source: ANZ statements

In 2023, ANZ customers spent a total of over $932 million, an increase of 4% year-on-year from 2022. Over $883 million was spent domestically in Australia.

ANZ data trends suggest customers may continue to spend millions of dollars on meals with their fathers, with $105 million spent on takeaway, restaurants and cafes over the Father’s Day weekend in 2023 – up 2% year-on-year. Entertainment saw a 10% surge in 2023, with a total of $48 million spent over the same weekend.

ANZ Deposits and Payments Lead, Australia Retail, Yiken Yang said: “Spending at wineries and bottle shops continues to be popular, with ANZ data revealing $45 million was spent on this category during the 2023 Father’s Day weekend.”

“One of the biggest year-on-year increases was in travel expenditure – $25 million – up 18% from 2022, underscoring the growing popularity of gifting experiences, such as accommodation or flight vouchers, as opposed to physical goods.”

“Interestingly, spending on welfare and charitable services leapt 33% year-on-year, to $5 million, possibly reflecting the tradition of gifting a donation on behalf of someone. Father’s Day also drove a 23% increase in spending on memberships, worth an additional $730,000 spent over Father’s Day weekend.”

“Marine services, supply and rentals saw another big year-on-year increase, up 41% in 2023, compared to the same period in 2022.”

ANZ customers in Victoria spent the most of any state, however those in the Northern Territory and South Australia spent more over the entirety of the weekend, compared to other weekends in September. This represents an additional $874,000 in the Northern Territory and $6.4m in South Australia.

ANZ customers continue to use unique phrases when sending money over the Father’s Day period. Some of the most popular transaction messages have included: cooldad, papa, lunch, love, present, love you dad, dads gift, dinner and happy father’s day.

STATE BY STATE COMPARISON – ANZ CUSTOMER CREDIT AND DEBIT CARD DATA

Victoria

  • Victoria’s total Father’s Day spend last year was $244.4m, up from $235.1m in 2022.
  • Victorian customers’ spending on Father’s Day in 2023 was the highest in Australia.

New South Wales

  • In total, customers in NSW spent $229.4m on Father’s Day in 2023, an increase from $220.9m.
  • Spending by NSW customers was the second highest in the country.

Queensland

  • Queensland customers spent $170.2m over the Father’s Day period last year. The total Queensland spend on Father’s Day in 2022 was $163.6m.
  • Queensland was the third-highest spending state, over the Father’s Day period in 2023, behind Victoria and NSW.

Western Australia

  • Last year, customers in WA spent a total of $120.8m on Father’s Day, up from $114.3m in 2022.

South Australia

  • South Australian customers increased their Father’s Day spending to $68.3m in 2023. Customers spent $63m on Father’s Day in the previous year.

Tasmania

  • Tasmania’s total Father’s Day spend was $20.2m in 2023, an increase from $19.7m in 2022.

Northern Territory

  • Customers in the NT spent a total of $8.8m in 2023, up from $8.6m on Father’s Day in 2022.

Australian Capital Territory

  • In total, customers in the ACT spent $13.9 on Father’s Day in 2023, compared to $14.1m in 2022.
  • ACT is the only state or territory to have spent less on Father’s Day in 2023 than in 2022, according to ANZ customer data.

Opening Statement – ANZ CEO Shayne Elliott appearance before House of Representatives Standing Committee on Economics

Source: ANZ statements

Thank you for the opportunity to appear before you today.

Joining me is Maile Carnegie, Group Executive for our Australia Retail business.

Maile and I look forward to discussing with you issues like the cost of living, scams and interest rates.

Before we get into these, however, I would like to first address recent developments relating to ANZ.

Last Friday, APRA announced that it would increase ANZ’s capital add-on due to concerns with our non-financial risk management practices.

We acknowledge these concerns.

For some time now, we have had a program of work to improve how we manage non-financial risk.

While this program has delivered positive progress, we clearly have more work do.

We’re also working with APRA on the scope of an independent culture and control review within our Markets business which will report to the Board.

APRA’s announcement has occurred as we face three matters in parts of our Markets business:

  • Data reporting errors with regards to information provided to the Australian Office of Financial Management, known as AOFM
  • An investigation by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission into our involvement with a Treasury bond issuance in 2023

and

  • Conduct and behavioural matters primarily within our Sydney dealing room.

On the data reporting issue, I have personally apologised to the Chief Executive at AOFM and we are reviewing and improving our relevant processes.

On ASIC’s investigation into the bond issuance, we are taking this very seriously.

We have undertaken detailed work in connection with this matter and continue to examine the issues.

There has been speculation that potential misconduct by ANZ in connection with this issuance may have cost taxpayers.

From what I have seen, there is no evidence of this. 

In saying this, I acknowledge that we do not have all the information that ASIC has, and our position will be reviewed in coming months.

On the conduct issues, a broad number of allegations have been externally examined.

Three people have subsequently left the bank.

The ANZ Board is monitoring the APRA and Markets matters very closely, and work is continuing.

The Board will ensure there are appropriate consequences for proven failures or misconduct.

As the Committee may appreciate, there is a limit to how much I can discuss these matters today.

However, I assure the Committee that we are taking them very seriously.

Turning to how our customers are managing in the current economic environment, the nation appears to be emerging from a difficult period of inflation.

The price increases that have been hurting Australians are starting to moderate, and Wednesday’s CPI figure was further welcome news.

We still expect the Reserve Bank to reduce the cash rate by 75 basis points next year, with the first cut in February.

Lower interest rates will be welcome relief for borrowers who have faced higher debt costs for some time, although savers will face lower returns.

We are very conscious of the pressure that higher debt costs have placed on many of our customers, who are also managing bigger bills for everyday essentials.

That said, the aggregate data we look at suggests that, overall, our customers have been holding up well.

While our latest published figures showed an increase in the number of ANZ home loan customers in hardship, they remained low at around three in every 1,000 people.

Those figures also showed that mortgage offset balances continued to increase, and early data suggests that home loan customers have increased their savings following the recent stage 3 tax cuts.

Moreover, although stress among credit card customers is slightly up, they are not showing signs of dependency on their credit limits for basic living expenses.

As you may appreciate, our small business customers are also facing higher costs, including for wages.

And we know from ASIC insolvency data that more businesses through the economy are getting into trouble.

However, our data seems to suggest that small business customers at ANZ are managing well despite the current conditions.

Published figures for our small business customers indicated that around two in every 1,000 were in hardship.

This is encouraging and suggests many of our small business customers are managing the challenges of today’s economy well.

Of course, under the headline figures are people finding it harder to pay for housing and everyday expenses, and businesses struggling with higher costs.

We expect that more people and business will sadly get into difficulty in the coming months.

Because some customers are hesitant to ask for help, we are trying to reach out sooner.

We are using data analytics and modelling to identify hardship triggers, such as reduced income or negative cashflow.

When we contact these customers, we let them know what we can do to help.

This may include pausing or reducing payments or restructuring their loan.

The other area where we are trying to help is by investing in prevention and detection tools to address the terrible impact of scams on our customers.

These include our Falcon card technology and new methods such as artificial intelligence, machine learning and biometrics.

From October 2023 to June 2024, total scam losses suffered by our customers fell by almost half, while the number of scam events decreased by a third compared with the same period in 2023.

In that time, we have also prevented more than $100 million of customer funds going to criminals.

However, the rate of harm is still too high, and we’ll continue to work on measures to protect our customers.

To finish, I am pleased that we completed our acquisition of Suncorp Bank one month ago.

We have now welcomed around 3,000 employees and 1.2 million customers into the ANZ Group, and look forward to giving them a great place to work and bank.

We’re excited about the opportunity to play a bigger role in Queensland, including through a new digital hub that will help grow the state’s tech sector and open strong career pathways for Queenslanders, while giving ANZ a key platform to continue to deliver innovation to its customers.

Thank you and we look forward to your questions.