ANZ-Indeed Australian Job Ads: down 15.3 per cent in 2024

Source: ANZ statements

ANZ Economist, Madeline Dunk said: “ANZ-Indeed Australian Job Ads declined in August for the seventh consecutive month to be down 15.3% so far in 2024. Yet employment has risen by 318k in 2024 (273k in full-time employment), and six-month average employment growth is running at its strongest pace since late 2022. Part of the decline in the series (which measures total job ads rather than new job ads) is likely due to workers finding jobs. Labour supply is pushing higher, with the participation rate hitting a record 67.1% in July. The female participation rate lifted to a new peak of 63.2%, while the male participation rate was the highest since January 2016 at 71.2%. The downward trend in Job Ads and the move upward in the unemployment rate suggests that labour supply and demand are moving towards balance.”

Indeed Senior Economist, Callam Pickering said: “In August, Job Ads continued to fall across most states, led by Western Australia, Victoria and Queensland, which more than offset gains across South Australia and Tasmania. The 22.9% decline in Job Ads over the past year has been concentrated in New South Wales and Victoria, with more modest falls elsewhere. Defying national trends, Job Ads jumped in August in key sectors, such as retail trade, education and food preparation. For retail trade, August marks the beginning of the Christmas hiring period, with opportunities set to rise sharply over the next few months.”

Customers set to spend big this Father’s Day

Source: ANZ statements

In 2023, ANZ customers spent a total of over $932 million, an increase of 4% year-on-year from 2022. Over $883 million was spent domestically in Australia.

ANZ data trends suggest customers may continue to spend millions of dollars on meals with their fathers, with $105 million spent on takeaway, restaurants and cafes over the Father’s Day weekend in 2023 – up 2% year-on-year. Entertainment saw a 10% surge in 2023, with a total of $48 million spent over the same weekend.

ANZ Deposits and Payments Lead, Australia Retail, Yiken Yang said: “Spending at wineries and bottle shops continues to be popular, with ANZ data revealing $45 million was spent on this category during the 2023 Father’s Day weekend.”

“One of the biggest year-on-year increases was in travel expenditure – $25 million – up 18% from 2022, underscoring the growing popularity of gifting experiences, such as accommodation or flight vouchers, as opposed to physical goods.”

“Interestingly, spending on welfare and charitable services leapt 33% year-on-year, to $5 million, possibly reflecting the tradition of gifting a donation on behalf of someone. Father’s Day also drove a 23% increase in spending on memberships, worth an additional $730,000 spent over Father’s Day weekend.”

“Marine services, supply and rentals saw another big year-on-year increase, up 41% in 2023, compared to the same period in 2022.”

ANZ customers in Victoria spent the most of any state, however those in the Northern Territory and South Australia spent more over the entirety of the weekend, compared to other weekends in September. This represents an additional $874,000 in the Northern Territory and $6.4m in South Australia.

ANZ customers continue to use unique phrases when sending money over the Father’s Day period. Some of the most popular transaction messages have included: cooldad, papa, lunch, love, present, love you dad, dads gift, dinner and happy father’s day.

STATE BY STATE COMPARISON – ANZ CUSTOMER CREDIT AND DEBIT CARD DATA

Victoria

  • Victoria’s total Father’s Day spend last year was $244.4m, up from $235.1m in 2022.
  • Victorian customers’ spending on Father’s Day in 2023 was the highest in Australia.

New South Wales

  • In total, customers in NSW spent $229.4m on Father’s Day in 2023, an increase from $220.9m.
  • Spending by NSW customers was the second highest in the country.

Queensland

  • Queensland customers spent $170.2m over the Father’s Day period last year. The total Queensland spend on Father’s Day in 2022 was $163.6m.
  • Queensland was the third-highest spending state, over the Father’s Day period in 2023, behind Victoria and NSW.

Western Australia

  • Last year, customers in WA spent a total of $120.8m on Father’s Day, up from $114.3m in 2022.

South Australia

  • South Australian customers increased their Father’s Day spending to $68.3m in 2023. Customers spent $63m on Father’s Day in the previous year.

Tasmania

  • Tasmania’s total Father’s Day spend was $20.2m in 2023, an increase from $19.7m in 2022.

Northern Territory

  • Customers in the NT spent a total of $8.8m in 2023, up from $8.6m on Father’s Day in 2022.

Australian Capital Territory

  • In total, customers in the ACT spent $13.9 on Father’s Day in 2023, compared to $14.1m in 2022.
  • ACT is the only state or territory to have spent less on Father’s Day in 2023 than in 2022, according to ANZ customer data.

Opening Statement – ANZ CEO Shayne Elliott appearance before House of Representatives Standing Committee on Economics

Source: ANZ statements

Thank you for the opportunity to appear before you today.

Joining me is Maile Carnegie, Group Executive for our Australia Retail business.

Maile and I look forward to discussing with you issues like the cost of living, scams and interest rates.

Before we get into these, however, I would like to first address recent developments relating to ANZ.

Last Friday, APRA announced that it would increase ANZ’s capital add-on due to concerns with our non-financial risk management practices.

We acknowledge these concerns.

For some time now, we have had a program of work to improve how we manage non-financial risk.

While this program has delivered positive progress, we clearly have more work do.

We’re also working with APRA on the scope of an independent culture and control review within our Markets business which will report to the Board.

APRA’s announcement has occurred as we face three matters in parts of our Markets business:

  • Data reporting errors with regards to information provided to the Australian Office of Financial Management, known as AOFM
  • An investigation by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission into our involvement with a Treasury bond issuance in 2023

and

  • Conduct and behavioural matters primarily within our Sydney dealing room.

On the data reporting issue, I have personally apologised to the Chief Executive at AOFM and we are reviewing and improving our relevant processes.

On ASIC’s investigation into the bond issuance, we are taking this very seriously.

We have undertaken detailed work in connection with this matter and continue to examine the issues.

There has been speculation that potential misconduct by ANZ in connection with this issuance may have cost taxpayers.

From what I have seen, there is no evidence of this. 

In saying this, I acknowledge that we do not have all the information that ASIC has, and our position will be reviewed in coming months.

On the conduct issues, a broad number of allegations have been externally examined.

Three people have subsequently left the bank.

The ANZ Board is monitoring the APRA and Markets matters very closely, and work is continuing.

The Board will ensure there are appropriate consequences for proven failures or misconduct.

As the Committee may appreciate, there is a limit to how much I can discuss these matters today.

However, I assure the Committee that we are taking them very seriously.

Turning to how our customers are managing in the current economic environment, the nation appears to be emerging from a difficult period of inflation.

The price increases that have been hurting Australians are starting to moderate, and Wednesday’s CPI figure was further welcome news.

We still expect the Reserve Bank to reduce the cash rate by 75 basis points next year, with the first cut in February.

Lower interest rates will be welcome relief for borrowers who have faced higher debt costs for some time, although savers will face lower returns.

We are very conscious of the pressure that higher debt costs have placed on many of our customers, who are also managing bigger bills for everyday essentials.

That said, the aggregate data we look at suggests that, overall, our customers have been holding up well.

While our latest published figures showed an increase in the number of ANZ home loan customers in hardship, they remained low at around three in every 1,000 people.

Those figures also showed that mortgage offset balances continued to increase, and early data suggests that home loan customers have increased their savings following the recent stage 3 tax cuts.

Moreover, although stress among credit card customers is slightly up, they are not showing signs of dependency on their credit limits for basic living expenses.

As you may appreciate, our small business customers are also facing higher costs, including for wages.

And we know from ASIC insolvency data that more businesses through the economy are getting into trouble.

However, our data seems to suggest that small business customers at ANZ are managing well despite the current conditions.

Published figures for our small business customers indicated that around two in every 1,000 were in hardship.

This is encouraging and suggests many of our small business customers are managing the challenges of today’s economy well.

Of course, under the headline figures are people finding it harder to pay for housing and everyday expenses, and businesses struggling with higher costs.

We expect that more people and business will sadly get into difficulty in the coming months.

Because some customers are hesitant to ask for help, we are trying to reach out sooner.

We are using data analytics and modelling to identify hardship triggers, such as reduced income or negative cashflow.

When we contact these customers, we let them know what we can do to help.

This may include pausing or reducing payments or restructuring their loan.

The other area where we are trying to help is by investing in prevention and detection tools to address the terrible impact of scams on our customers.

These include our Falcon card technology and new methods such as artificial intelligence, machine learning and biometrics.

From October 2023 to June 2024, total scam losses suffered by our customers fell by almost half, while the number of scam events decreased by a third compared with the same period in 2023.

In that time, we have also prevented more than $100 million of customer funds going to criminals.

However, the rate of harm is still too high, and we’ll continue to work on measures to protect our customers.

To finish, I am pleased that we completed our acquisition of Suncorp Bank one month ago.

We have now welcomed around 3,000 employees and 1.2 million customers into the ANZ Group, and look forward to giving them a great place to work and bank.

We’re excited about the opportunity to play a bigger role in Queensland, including through a new digital hub that will help grow the state’s tech sector and open strong career pathways for Queenslanders, while giving ANZ a key platform to continue to deliver innovation to its customers.

Thank you and we look forward to your questions.

Consumer confidence: renters feeling more confident

Source: ANZ statements

• Consumer confidence eased 0.4pts last week to 82.6pts. The four-week moving average fell 0.1pts to 82.7pts.

• ‘Weekly inflation expectations’ rose 0.1pts to 4.8 per cent, while the four-week moving average fell to 4.9 per cent from 5.0 per cent.

• ‘Current financial conditions’ (over the last year) declined 1.5pts, while ‘future financial conditions’ (next 12 months) dropped 1.0pts.

• ‘Short-term economic confidence’ (next 12 months) eased 0.8pts and ‘medium-term economic confidence’ (next five years) declined 1.4pts.

• The ‘time to buy a major household item’ subindex rose 2.6pts after the previous week’s 6.0pt fall.

ANZ Economist, Madeline Dunk said: “ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence was relatively steady last week, falling just 0.4pts. The economic and financial conditions subindices declined, although this was partly offset by a lift in the ‘time to buy a major household item’ measure. Inflation expectations inched up just 0.1pts in the week to 4.8% after falling to a 2.5-year low the week before.

“Since the start of July there has been a steady move higher in ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence amongst renters, and the four-week moving average is at its highest level since March 2023. Confidence amongst renters is once again higher than it is for those paying off a home loan.”

Share a story, stop a scam. Conversation key in fight against cybercriminals

Source: ANZ statements

ANZ Head of Customer Protection, Shaq Johnson said: “Scams are a widespread issue and a scourge on the community. At ANZ, and across the banking sector, we continue to invest in prevention and protection measures to help keep our customers safe from cybercrime.”

From October 2023 to June 2024, total ANZ customer scam losses fell by around 49 per cent and the number of scam events decreased by around a third compared with the same period in 2023. In that time, ANZ has prevented more than $100 million of customer funds going to cybercriminals

The bank’s data shows online platforms are the most common source of scams, accounting for almost 45 per cent of customer reports, followed by telephone or sms, and email.

“The measures we’ve implemented are having an impact – but while it’s an encouraging sign, there is more to do, including continued focus on education to inform people about how criminal syndicates are targeting their victims, changing methodology, and what to look out for,” Johnson said.

ANZ continues to invest significantly as part of its fight to help protect customers and the community from scams and other financial crimes, including:

  • Piloting a dedicated team of specialists in our customer protection team who handle calls about fraud and scams.
  • Implementing additional friction and delays to specific payment destinations which we have identified as having a high scam or fraud risk. The destinations are updated on an ongoing basis to reflect the latest data.
  • The introduction of Crypto Protect, a tool which turns off the ability for ANZ Plus customers to make payments to cryptocurrency exchanges used in around half of all scams unless customers choose to override it.
  • Increase personalised warning messages to inform customers when a transaction or activity is considered high risk.
  • Introducing a new Scam Scoring model, that uses AI to complement current security systems and boost our scam detection.
  • Introducing a Mule Detection model to detect mule accounts and restrict the movement of scam proceeds.
  • Enhancing education for customers with increased alerts on our website and digital channels to provide detail on new scam types and red flags.
  • Adding a new scams awareness model to ANZ’s flagship financial education program, MoneyMinded, which equips community professionals with tools and advice to support their clients to identify and protect themselves from scams. The module is available to more than 9,000 accredited coaches in Australia.

ANZ continues to work closely with other banks, industries, government and law enforcement to collectively address scam trends and stay ahead of scammers to protect Australians.

“Criminals used to rob bank branches, but increasingly they scam customers. The landscape has evolved significantly as perpetrators become increasingly sophisticated, with complex scams that will often involve more than one victim.

“Scammers take advantage of the fact that victims feel ashamed and don’t want to talk about their experience, but awareness is a critical defence in the fight against scams. By sharing stories and experiences, we not only raise awareness but also empower the community with the knowledge to recognise and avoid fraudulent schemes,” Johnson said.

APRA to apply additional capital overlay

Source: ANZ statements

ANZ notes APRA’s comments confirming ANZ is financially strong with strong capital and liquidity levels. The impact of the additional operational risk overlay of $250 million is 6 basis points of Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital[1].  

ANZ acknowledges APRA’s concerns and is expediting work already underway to address the issues raised. This includes working with APRA on the scope of an independent culture and control review within its Markets business which has already been initiated and will report to the Board.

Leftovers on the Rise: Australia’s Food Waste Dilemma

Source: ANZ statements

From the farm to the household fridge, food waste remains a major issue across the Australian food supply chain.

According to ANZ’s latest Food For Thought report, Australian households alone discard about 3.1 million tonnes of edible food annually, equivalent to $8 billion.

ANZ Head of Institutional Food, Beverage and Agribusiness, Gerry Karam said: “In Australia we continue to have a significant food waste problem, which affects every stage of the food supply chain, from production and processing to retail and consumption.”

“The issue has far-reaching environmental, economic, and social implications, demanding urgent action and innovative solutions.”

At a farm level, various factors such as overproduction, market fluctuations, harvesting challenges and stringent quality standards lead to substantial losses. It is estimated that over 20 percent of vegetables produced in Australia – equivalent to around one million tonnes annually – never make it to market.

The problem extends beyond farms and into Australian households, where food waste is a pervasive issue, due to causes including over-purchasing, improper storage, and confusion over expiration dates.

“Another example is that Australians throw away nearly 1.3 billion slices of bread each year, which if stacked up, would create a tower over 1,000 kilometres high.”

“According to the UN Food Waste Index Report, Australians waste an average of 102 kilograms of food per person each year, placing the country among the highest food wasters globally”, said Karam.

“Food waste has a wide range of impacts, including environmentally, such as from landfill methane production, economically, through the cost of wasted food, and arguably most importantly socially, when dealing with Australia’s own food insecurity issues,” he said.

“Despite the challenges, there are a range of opportunities to reduce food waste, such as organisations who redistribute surplus food to charities, or through innovations in turning food waste into edible ingredients or renewable energy.”

“Reducing food waste is not just an environmental imperative; it is also an economic opportunity that can drive positive change across the entire food supply chain,” he said.

Consumer confidence: inflation expectations at 30-month low

Source: ANZ statements

ANZ Economist, Madeline Dunk said: “ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence eased 0.9pts last week, driven by a 6.0pt fall in the ‘time to buy a major household item’ subindex. The current financial situation subindex also declined 1.9pts, but it is still up 5.2pts over the past two weeks and 9.6pts compared to the start of July. Despite some volatility in the week-to-week data, it appears the Stage 3 tax cuts are supporting confidence. Notably, inflation expectations fell to 4.7 per cent, their lowest level since January 2022, before inflation picked up materially in Australia.

It’s been a bumpy path down for inflation expectations since the peak of 6.8 per cent in November 2022, and that bumpiness has been evident in other measures like the NAB business survey’s price measures. The NAB measures are now consistent with inflation sitting around 2.5 per cent. We’ll be watching to see if inflation expectations continue to moderate over the coming weeks.”

ANZ first major Australian bank to settle cross-border transactions via NPP network

Source: ANZ statements

Executing the first transaction for BNP Paribas on 2 July 2024, ANZ demonstrated its ability to settle the last stage of inward international AUD payments to eligible non-ANZ beneficiaries in near real-time1.

ANZ Managing Director Transaction Banking Lisa Vasic said: “We see this as a game changer, which will help make sending payments simpler and faster for our financial institution customers. It will significantly improve the customer experience by reducing wait times, improving cash flow and increasing operational efficiency.

As the largest Australian dollar clearing bank in Australia, both individuals and businesses stand to benefit from receiving their international payments in near-real time. We’re particularly pleased that the infrastructure was built using in-house capability without relying on third party solutions.”

To execute the transaction, BNP Paribas sent an international payment to ANZ via SWIFT, which ANZ was able to process and clear into the NPP network, allowing the beneficiary to receive this payment in near real time.

BNP Paribas’ Global Head of Cash Management, Payments, Trade Solutions and Factoring, Pierre Fersztand said: “This partnership marks a significant step in BNP Paribas’ strategy to achieve instant and frictionless international payments. By strengthening our relationship with an established local partner, we are leveraging the local instant clearing framework allowing cross-border payments to settle instantly in order to enhance our clients’ experience.

Our approach aligns fully with the G20 roadmap for improving cross-border payments. As we continue to expand, BNP Paribas is actively working to enable additional payment corridors, subject to the capabilities of local clearing systems. This collaboration underscores our commitment to innovation in global transaction banking, ensuring we meet the evolving needs of our clients in an increasingly interconnected world.”

ANZ is focused on supporting multinationals and financial institutions with the movement of money and goods globally. ANZ Institutional retained its position as lead provider of AUD bank-to-bank clearing services globally for the 16th consecutive year, according to the recent FImetrix survey.

1. Subject to those payments meeting certain eligibility requirements including, but not limited to, the payment message being formatted correctly and the receiving bank being enabled to receive international payments via NPP.

ANZ announces partnership with Brisbane Festival

Source: ANZ statements

The partnership demonstrates our shared dedication to community and artistic celebration and is one of ANZ’s commitments to invest in projects that Queenslanders believe in.

Brisbane Festival will play host to the ANZ Festival Garden – an all-ages inner-city wonderland of food, live music and entertainment set among the South Bank Parklands. 

General Manager, Marketing at ANZ, Sian Chadwick said: “At ANZ, our purpose is to shape a world where people and communities thrive and we know the state of Queensland is thriving. Brisbane Festival is a terrific example of this – it is a showcase and celebration of the very best art and culture from around the state and the world.”

“For the 2024 festival, we will deliver an important piece of the event experience – ANZ Festival Garden, which will be a hub of creativity and culinary delights and a wonderful place to bring so many Queenslanders together,” she said.

Brisbane Festival Artistic Director Louise Bezzina said: “Partnering with ANZ allows us to provide a special place for patrons to gather. The support enhances our offer of interactive experiences, making the ANZ Festival Garden a vibrant central hub of the festival.”

Brisbane Festival is an initiative of the Queensland Government and Brisbane City Council.  The full program is available at brisbanefestival.com.au