Consumer confidence: slight gain ahead of RBA decision

Source: ANZ statements

Consumer confidence increased 2.8pts, but the four-week moving average decreased 0.6pts.

Among the mainland states, confidence rose in NSW, Victoria, Queensland, and SA, while it fell slightly in WA.

‘Weekly inflation expectations’ rose 0.3ppt to 5.5%, while the four-week moving average increased from 5.3% to 5.4%.

‘Current financial conditions’ gained 6.5pts after a cumulative 11pts decline over the previous three weeks. ‘Future financial conditions’ rose 0.2pts.

‘Current economic conditions’ increased 1.9pts, while ‘future economic conditions’ softened 0.8pts.

The ‘time to buy a major household item’ subindex jumped 6pts to its highest since early February.

ANZ-Indeed Job Ads: momentum fades

Source: ANZ statements

ANZ Economist, Madeline Dunk said: “ANZ-Indeed Australian Job Ads has declined 3.5% over the last two months, taking the series to its lowest level since January 2022. The number of Job Ads, however, is still elevated compared to historical levels. Slack is slowly creeping into the labour market. Hours worked have been falling, recent jobs growth has been driven by part-time employment, youth unemployment has been rising and the underemployment rate has been moving up. This, along with the modest unwinding in job ads numbers, suggests the unemployment rate will rise further.”

Indeed Senior Economist Callam Pickering said: “The imbalance between labour demand and supply is gradually easing. Job Ads are down 11.4% over the past year, while Australia’s population aged 15+ increased 2.8% over the year to September. Recent weakness in Job Ads has been concentrated in NSW and Victoria, with a more modest subtraction from Queensland. Driving this year’s decline in Job Ads is fewer opportunities in food preparation & service, software development and personal care, which offset more opportunities in healthcare and education.”

Download report  

ANZ supports Ground Lease Model 2 project, delivering affordable housing for Victorians

Source: ANZ statements

Under the Ground Lease Model 2 project, Homes Victoria will lease public land to a consortium who will finance, design and construct 1,370 new social, affordable, specialist disability and market rental residential dwellings across four project sites in Victoria. The new housing stock will replace aging properties with modern, accessible and energy-efficient homes in South Yarra, Prahran, Hampton East and Port Melbourne.

The Ground Lease Model 2 project will help address the undersupply of social and affordable housing, increasing existing social dwellings per site by more than 10% and doubling the State’s requirement for specialist disability dwellings.  It is being led by Tetris, with the design and construction to be undertaken by Icon. Project completion is expected by the end of 2026.

Community housing providers will manage and maintain the sites for 40 years, before handing the land, and all dwellings, back to Homes Victoria. Community Housing Limited (Vic) is the lead provider with specialised support from both Aboriginal Community Housing (Vic) Limited and Women’s Property Initiatives.

ANZ Group Executive, Institutional, Mark Whelan said: “At ANZ, we are committed to increasing the supply of social and affordable housing, with a target to fund and facilitate $10 billion of investment in more affordable, accessible and sustainable homes to buy or rent by 2030.”

“The Ground Lease Model 2 project is a great example of working with our customers to partner with the financial and not-for-profit sectors, to support the Victorian State government in delivering better housing outcomes. We’re pleased to be involved in this important initiative.”

Ryan Slocombe, Principal, Tetris said: “It’s fantastic to see ANZ supporting such an important major housing project that will significantly benefit both future renters and the broader community.”

About the Ground Lease Model 2 project

Procured by Homes Victoria, the Ground Lease Model 2 Project is a Public Private Partnership between the Victorian State Government and the Better Communities consortium. The Consortium is led by advisor and equity sponsor Tetris Capital and comprises Icon Constructions, Community Housing (Vic) Ltd, and abrdn and Invesis. This follows the Ground Lease Model 1 Project currently under construction. More information about the Ground Lease model can be found here.

Consumer confidence: declined

Source: ANZ statements

Consumer confidence fell 3.2pts, and the four-week moving average decreased 0.8pts.

Among the mainland states, confidence rose only in Queensland, while it fell in NSW, Victoria, SA, and WA.

‘Weekly inflation expectations’ dropped 0.5ppt to 5.2%, while the four-week moving average was unchanged at 5.3%.

‘Current financial conditions’ fell 4.6pts, its third straight weekly decline. ‘Future financial conditions’ were down 1.0pt.

‘Current economic conditions’ fell 5.2pts, while ‘future economic conditions’ softened 0.3pts.

The ‘time to buy a major household item’ subindex dropped 4.9pts.

Consumer confidence lifts slightly

Source: ANZ statements

Consumer confidence rose 1.8 points, and the four-week moving average increased 0.5 points.

Among the mainland states, confidence rose in New South Wales, Victoria, South Australia and Western Australia, while it fell in Queensland.

‘Weekly inflation expectations’ rose 0.4 percentage point to 5.7 per cent, while the four-week moving average was unchanged at 5.3 per cent.

‘Current financial conditions’ fell 0.8 points after a 5.6 points decline the week before. ‘Future financial conditions’ were up 0.9 points.

‘Current economic conditions’ increased 3.4 points more than offsetting the 3.2 points fall the week before.

‘Future economic conditions’ rose 2.7 points. The ‘time to buy a major household item’ subindex gained 2.9 points.

Letter from ANZ CEO Shayne Elliott about scams and fraud

Source: ANZ statements

Beginning today, our customers in Australia will receive a letter from ANZ’s CEO Shayne Elliott, via email or post, about the increase in sophisticated scams and fraud. This letter will be sent to approximately 6 million ANZ and ANZ Plus customers across our retail, commercial and private wealth businesses.

As part of ANZ’s continued commitment to educate its customers about scams, the letter serves as a reminder of the ways that we as a community can protect ourselves and our loved ones from cyber criminals. It provides some simple tips to help customers stay safe against scams and is an important reminder of the support available for those who may need it, now or in the future.

You can read a version of the letter from Shayne below.

A message from the ANZ CEO

 

In recent times, Australia has seen an increase in sophisticated scams and fraud. It’s a serious problem affecting many of us.

Criminals are constantly changing the ways they scam and defraud the community and we all have a part to play in staying vigilant.

Simple tips to help protect you and your money

  • If something seems too good to be true, it usually is. Pause and verify before acting.
  • Be suspicious of anyone asking you for personal information or a payment.
  • Be wary of unexpected links – even if it appears to come from a legitimate source.
  • Never give unsolicited callers remote access to your computer or your banking details – even if they claim to be from ANZ. Consider calling your bank back via their listed details.
  • Be wary of a professional-looking advertisement for jobs as a ‘money transfer agent’. What you may unintentionally be doing is transferring stolen money on behalf of criminals.
  • Consider using PayID® to make a payment. When you use PayID, the name connected to the account is automatically populated. This can help you check your money is going to the right place before you pay.

Finally, remember, ANZ will never ask you for banking details over email, text or phone.

What to do if you think you’ve been scammed

Don’t be embarrassed – cyber-criminals are skilled at getting you to act quickly. It has happened to others; we can only assist if we know about it.

If something doesn’t feel right or you think you’ve been the victim of a scam, contact us immediately.

You can find more information including our contact details, on our website. Visit anz.com and search for ‘Security Centre’ to learn more.

I hope this information helps make your banking experience even safer; we’re in this together.

Shayne Elliott

Chief Executive Officer

ANZ 

Consumer confidence: softened

Source: ANZ statements

Consumer confidence dropped 3.7pts, and the four-week moving average decreased 0.8pts.

Among the mainland states, confidence rose only in WA, while it fell in NSW, Victoria, Queensland and SA.

‘Weekly inflation expectations’ rose 0.2ppt to 5.3%, while the four-week moving average increased to 5.3% from 5.2%.

‘Current financial conditions’ fell 5.6pts after a cumulative 6.4pts gain over the previous two weeks.

‘Future financial conditions’ confidence was down 4.8pts.

‘Current economic conditions’ declined 3.2pts, while ‘future economic conditions’ fell 3.5pts.

The ‘time to buy a major household item’ subindex softened 1.1pts.

Consumer confidence lifts to seven-month high

Source: ANZ statements

Consumer confidence rose 1.9 points last week, and the four-week moving average increased by 0.6 points.

Among the mainland states, confidence rose in New South Wales, Victoria, and Queensland, while it fell in South Australia and Western Australia.

The ‘weekly inflation expectations’ index softened 0.1 percentage points to 5.1 per cent, while the four-week moving average stayed at 5.2 per cent.

‘Current financial conditions’ rose 3.2 points, moving above 70 for the first time since April. ‘Future financial conditions’ increased 1.7 points.

‘Current economic conditions’ rose 1.0 points after two straight weeks of declines. ‘Future economic conditions’ gained 1.6 points. The ‘time to buy a major household item’ subindex improved 2.1 points.

Transcript: Shayne Elliott with Neil Mitchell – 3AW

Source: ANZ statements

Neil Mitchell: Do you agree? Do you think it’s finishing?

Shayne Elliott: No, I actually don’t think it’s finished, and I think that’s probably wishful thinking on many people’s part. We might like people to be back, but I think the world has changed and I don’t think we’re going to go back to the way it was. No.

Neil Mitchell: What? Never?

Shayne Elliott: No, never. I think the world has gone through a real change here. And look, we should probably focus on why we care about it, and why five days a week is the right answer in the first place. And I think it’s worth reminding people that for, not everybody, but for companies like us, we were never at 100 per cent five days a week. We never had that. I mean, we at ANZ, and I know, we’re not everybody, but we only ever had two thirds of our people in on any given day. And it depends on what you do for a living, but the work is different. Our people are out talking to customers. They’re sometimes working from home, they’re part time, they’re job sharing, they’re in the office, they’re in a branch – they’re all over the place, you know. So, people driving around, talking to customers. I don’t think that the idea, that romantic idea that everybody was nine to five, five days a week and that somehow was nirvana either from a productivity point of view or from a work experience point of view. And somehow, we all wish we could go back to that. So no, I don’t think we will go back, but I do think we’ll get more people back in the office than we are today.

Neil Mitchell: What percentage would you have in the office now?

Shayne Elliott: So, we are two thirds of what we used to be. So that still means we’re only at about 40ish per cent of all our people in the office. But we were, as I said, we were never at 100, ever. So, you know, that’s just the way of the world today.

Neil Mitchell: Would you like that figure to be better? Would you like more people?

Shayne Elliott: Yes. I would. And I would like it to be better. And, you know, there is evidence – and you and I have talked about it before – I get the numbers literally every single day. I know how many people are in the building. It is still going up over, gently. So, you know, it’s not like it’s peaked. We’re still getting more and more people coming in over time. The reason I want people in is, frankly, it’s not for me. It’s not even necessary for the banks benefit because I think we can run the bank pretty well where we are today. It’s for them. I think people, particularly younger people – but not just – I think it’s good. I think it’s good for sort of social cohesion. I’m coaching people on the job, you know, career progression, learning, training, all of those things I think really benefit from people mixing with others from different backgrounds, different experiences. And it’s a way that you learn.

Neil Mitchell: City still feel a bit empty to you?

Shayne Elliott: Well, it didn’t last night when it was pouring with rain, and I was here at 6 o’clock having to race up to the other end of Collins Street. It took me 40 minutes, now except I was in a car. I accept that, but 40 minutes from one end of Collins Street to the other, it absolutely did not feel empty to me.

Neil Mitchell: Is there still that – and we talked about this before too – is there still a need for the state government to get the public service back to send a message?

Shayne Elliott: Oh, I think that will help. I think, you know, setting standards and norms and, you know, people look around them and what’s everybody else doing right. And absolutely. And if the births, deaths and marriages, I didn’t know that, if they’re closed and you set a standard and say it’s okay to be closed. Yeah you do. I think those things matter. And it’s like any form of leadership, like individual leadership, people look at what the boss does, what he says, what he talks about, how he behaves or she. And, you know, it’s the same with government. If government say it’s okay not to be in the office, then everybody will say, well, then why do I have to be? So, I do think there’s some leadership to be shown. Yes.

Neil Mitchell: I thank you for interrupting your day. Thanks for just one thing though. You’re that voice of reason that comforts me every time on the state of the economy. How are we going?

Shayne Elliott: Oh, I don’t know I’m going to give you much comfort today. I think things have a hit, not a wall, that’s not fair. Things are a little bit tougher today than they were eight weeks ago. And you might say, gee, eight weeks, that’s not very long. We have had a bit of a turning point and we see it in our data, Neil, people are cutting back on their spending. What’s really interesting in the bank, so people, if you’re a bank customer, it means you’re probably a little bit better off. And that’s a whole other subject we can talk about. But people are cutting back to save more. So, they’re not cutting back because they don’t have any money to spend. Our customers, what we’re saying, they’re cutting back and putting it into the bank to save because they’re a bit more worried than they were eight weeks ago. Yeah, now we can begin to try and unpack all that, so people are a bit worried more around cost of living, petrol pump prices. Look at these, I mean, rent numbers are shocking, right? So, people are a little bit more worried than they were before, but at the end of the day. Hey, we live in a wealthy country. The savings balances of Australians are at all time highs. I’m looking at something. I’ll send you a chart later. The financial assets of the average Australian household, and I accept the average. The average has never been stronger and so there’s lots of cotton wool and protection in the system for most people. And what we really need to be worried about are those at the fringe that don’t have those protections. The renters.

Neil Mitchell: I always love looking at a chart. Thank you very much for your time.

Shayne Elliott: I’ll send it straight over. Talk to you later.

Neil Mitchell: Chief executive of the ANZ, Shayne Elliott.